Hey guys, it’s time for this week’s Next Time on Survivor. Before I jump into looking at the previews for this week, I wanted to check out the outcome of the predictions I made for the previous episode.
Previously on Survivor…
Here we are on the last episode before the season finale and it’s seemed like this season has flown by. It definitely had a slow and boring start, but it has picked up and become exciting to watch in the home stretch. It’s fun to actually see a group of people really playing the game.
Last week there were a lot of fans who thought it was going to be Ben’s week to go since he betrayed Chrissy, but I couldn’t agree with the crowd. Honestly, there was no point to his fake immunity idol from what we saw on TV. He decided not to mess with Chrissy and not plant the fake idol for her to find. Wouldn’t it be a slap in the face if Chrissy planted her useless idol for someone else to find?
When it came down to predicting who would win immunity, I feel like I’ve said Devon had a shot to win every week – and he came extremely close last week, but he had to go and give it up for a shoulder massage!
I didn’t see Lauren going home last week. I felt like she was playing a good game, but all it takes is one (big) mistake to bring everything crashing down.
Snuffing Out The Competition
We’re 13 episodes in, and I think we have to admit that even though Ben may come off as a jerk sometimes, he is playing this game well. He’s become the “Survivor Devil.” After last week, Ben knows he is basically doomed going into the next tribal, but something tells me they won’t get rid of him this week either. Similar to the preview aired a few weeks back of Cole passing out, the entire preview is focused on Ben being the target. The preview would be a little too obvious if he were to go home now.
Checking out the ‘Next Time’ preview shown after the last episode, Ben is going around asking if he’s still the target – which is an obvious yes. But soon after that scene, Chrissy begins to call the shots on wanting Ashley out. What made the target change? Did Ben win immunity or find an idol? Also, why is Chrissy calling the shots? Did she manage to win immunity over Ben?
Since the merge, it seems like the tide is constantly turning from one alliance to the other for who is on top calling the shots, but in a way, the tide isn’t turning at all, because Ben decides who is going home every time.
Going into this next episode, let’s not forget that all idols and advantages have been played or (in Lauren’s case) wasted. With the number of idols and advantages being found this season, I won’t be surprised if there is another that gets put into the game. The remaining players are self-aware and know the game enough to know that once an idol gets played, another gets hidden.
I know this ‘Next Time’ segment may seem all about Ben, but let’s be honest… this has been Ben’s game to lose. I was never a fan of Lauren as much as most people were, but I have to admit she did spice up the game a bit. But ultimately Ben got the last laugh.
Predictions
Who will win immunity?
My heart is telling me Ben… because I’ve been rooting for him to win since the beginning. Why would they name Ashley as a target if Ben was a free agent with no immunity? My head is telling me Chrissy. Chrissy may be the mom of the season, but she opened a can of whoop-ass and has shown to outplay a lot of people in these challenges.
Starting out this episode, I don’t see it jumping straight into “we all just voted unanimously for Ben last night, so let’s switch the vote to Ashley this time.” Ashley’s name will be brought up later in the episode, meaning probably after the immunity challenge. One of two things will most likely happen, Ben will win immunity causing everyone to find another target – Ashley. Or Chrissy will win immunity and feel in control enough to want to get out the same person she named as her target last week – Ashley.
Will a clue or idol be found?
I think yes. If not this week, it will be found before the Final 5 tribal. Ben is excellent at locating idols, and I won’t be shocked if he immediately goes to look for a clue this week after seeing the votes for him last tribal.
Will an idol be played?
If one gets found, I don’t think it will be played.
Who’s on the chopping block?
The obvious – Ben and Ashley. But I have also had strong feelings that Devon’s time is running short. If Chrissy follows through with calling the shots this week, I don’t think Ben is being voted out. So this week will be the downfall of Ashley’s and Devon’s Final 2 alliance plans.
Winner Predictions After Episode 12
I feel like doing this every week has gotten pointless because I always list the same name. So instead I’ll list my opinion on the remaining six castaways with their best chance to win at Final 3.
Ashley’s best chance Final 3 combo – Ashley, Mike, and maybe Devon. Overall, it’s obvious she won’t win. Mike has been on the bottom, and Devon doesn’t seem like someone who will nail the final tribal speeches, so I think this is the only Final 3 situation Ashley could possibly be successful in.
Devon – Ashley, Mike, Devon. Devon’s best chances will be bringing someone with him who has been on the bottom for half of this game and someone else who is considered the “goat” of the season.
Chrissy – Ashley, Mike, and Chrissy. I think Chrissy would sweep the votes in the end with this Final 3
Ben – Ben could go with anybody and I think he would win. There may be a few bitter people, but there are also a lot of people who respect the game and the gameplay. So I think the real players will outweigh the few bitter people.
Mike – Ashley, Devon, Mike. I think Mike’s chance has passed. He may be smarter and could possibly talk better than those two, but considering he has been on the bottom for the last half of the game and misplayed his idol, the votes would go towards Devon in the end more than likely.
Ryan – Mike, Ashley, Ryan. I think Ryan would get a majority of the votes with this Final 3 as well. I think Mike may get three votes from his original Healer tribe members, but for the remaining jury members, I think they would vote Ryan.
To summarize all of that, basically, the key to win is to bring Ashley and Mike to the end.
Have a different opinion about the odds for someone to win at Final 3? Throw your thoughts at me in the comment section below.
OTHER SURVIVOR CONTENT
Redmond’s Episode 12 Recap at Yahoo TV
Episode 12 Edgic
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Thanks for the read. I’m not so sure Chrissy would sweep the final 3 of herself Ashley and Mike. Mike has a lot of Healers on that jury, and he seem very well liked, and just the fact that he did play from the bottom since the merge, means he beat the odds. That sounds like an underdog story to me. Plus I don’t think Chrissy is very well liked in the game.
The way I’m seeing it as is that Joe has told everyone that Chrissy was the threat before Ben emerged. And he’s called out Mike for being an idiot for trying to make the smallest move and failing.
I disagree with all of these. Cause I think you are giving Chrissy to much chance to win.
Desi votes everyone over Chrissy except Ryan I think. But Ryan gets enough votes from others so she loses
Cole votes everyone over Chrissy
JP would probably vote Chrissy over the others
Joe would vote Everyone over Chrissy except Ryan but same as Desi
Lauren votes everyone over Chrissy except Mike
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Mike would vote everyone over Chrissy
Ashley would vote everyone except mike over Chrissy
Devon same as Ashley
Ryan would vote Chrissy over everyone except Ben
Ben would vote everyone over Chrissy except Ryan
“Ashley, Mike, and Chrissy. I think Chrissy would sweep the votes in the end with this Final 3.”
This makes zero sense. Mike gets 3 Healer votes without any effort. Ashley gets Devon and Lauren without question. Ben is never voting for Chrissy. At best, Chrissy gets two votes from JP and, if she doesn’t backstab him viciously, Ryan – her chances of a sweep is 0%. Her best scenario? There is none. She’s the goat. Jury exit interviews state as much.
Dr. Mike has a shot if he can make the finale and convince a non-Healer or two to vote for him. I wouldn’t rule him out just yet. Me, I’ve only ruled out Chrissy, who isn’t good at making friends with a jury that will vote for someone they both like and respect.
Idk, joe has achknowledged Chrissy for playing decent and being a threat. And then called Mike out for his stupid idol move. I don’t think he’d vote for mike
I don’t follow. Joe also called Chrissy “Chaos Kass.” He’s also been rooting for Mike on Twitter. He’s probably just trying to confuse us.
Chrissy still isn’t getting votes from Desi or Lauren. Her poor social game is going to catch up to her.
I read an interview from Desi the other day and I realized theres absolutely no way she would vote for Chrissy so I was wrong about her.
I think Devon could win immunity, though this is only based on the fact they are targetting Ashley over him, and the challenge shown doesnt seem like his type, so it will probably be Chrissy or possibly Ryan or Mike. I don’t think Ben wins immunity, as they didn’t seem to completely discount Ben, instead just changed the plan. Then again this is all based on the fact Ashley was shown to be thrown out, and to be honest that could be due to the fact Chrissy realises Ben and her are the biggest threats to her; Ben for winning in the jury, and Ashley for being a goat people may decide to take along instead of Chrissy.